Invest Like the Pro’s Print
Summary: Institutional investors such as pension funds and endowments routinely outperform individual investors and retail financial advisors – find out how.

Overview

Institutional investors such as pension funds and endowments have generally achieved higher “Risk Adjusted” returns than individual investors. Risk adjusted returns is an important concept to understand. It simply means how much return you are getting for the level of risk you are taking. Everyone would like higher returns. However, if the higher return comes with higher risk then it may not be beneficial. The goal for most investors is to get higher returns with the same (or preferably less) risk than they were taking previously.

 

Most investors only use traditional investments – owning some combination of stocks, bonds and cash. It is very difficult to achieve significantly higher risk adjusted returns by simply using these asset classes with a buy, hold and rebalance approach. In today’s economy, integrating alternative asset classes into your portfolio has never been more important.

 

What are alternative asset classes?

Alternative investments include, but are not limited to: real estate, private equity, hedged equity, commodities, currencies, futures contracts, arbitrage, and absolute return. (See appendix to this article for definitions.)

 

In addition to using alternative asset classes, most institutions have systems that they follow for risk management, and deciding when, and at what price to buy and sell various investments.

 

At SureVest Capital we build and manage investment portfolios for individual clients that are based on the demonstrated success and methodologies of large institutional investors.

Why are alternative asset classes so important?

There are two reasons why alternative asset classes are so important:

 

  1. Provide growth during long term cyclical bear markets (when markets move sideways for many years):

    Many individual investors design their portfolio while looking in the rear view mirror. They feel that they can count on stocks to deliver double-digit returns because they are relying on statistics extrapolated from 80+ years of market data. However, what happens when you experience a decade of zero returns in the stock market such as we saw from 1999–2009? It is even worse if the sideways market lasts for 17 years such as it did from 1966–1982, or 25 years from 1929–1954, or 18 years such as it did from 1906–1924 in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (see chart, Appendix A).

    This scenario (a long term sideways market) is even more devastating if you need to take distributions from the portfolio, as most retirees, as well as endowments and pension funds, must. More and more retirees and mid to high net worth investors want consistent returns that they can count on to provide systematic income in retirement. Endowments also need systematic income to support the operations of their institutions.
  2. To Reduce Volatility:

    30 years ago, all you needed were stocks and bonds to have a diversified portfolio. However, it is important to understand that diversification does not mean that you simply hold many different investments. The key to diversification is to have a portfolio of investments that will not all decline at the same time. Therefore, you need some investments that go up when stocks and bonds are going down. Most major asset classes have become highly correlated over the last 30 years, meaning they now tend to move in the same direction. Institutions are relying on alternatives asset classes to behave differently, in order to cushion downturns by going up (or even sideways) when the stock and bond markets have significant downturns.

Why focus on consistent results (reducing volatility)?

Even the best money managers are going to have good years and bad years. However, by minimizing the severity of bad years, investors end up with higher compounding, which means a lot more money. Consider the following two investors:

Beginning account Value $1,000,000 Investor A Slow & Steady Investor B Wild Ride
Year 15%30%
Year 25%-25%
Year 35%10%
Simple Avg Return5%5%
Compounded Avg Return5%2.36%
Total Account Value1,157,6201,072,500


They each have an average return of 5%, but Investor A ends up with much more money after just 3 years. This is because a portfolio with lower volatility compounds at a higher rate. The difference in the ending portfolio balance is more pronounced if the account owners were taking distributions from the portfolio each year, or if you look at a longer period of time.

For Example: from 1950–2007 the S&P 500 had an average annual return of 9.19%. Over that time period an investment with the same average annual return but half the volatility would have produced 60% more wealth!

The institutional approach to investing is not designed to hit “home run” returns of 20–30% per year (although years like that can occur). Instead it focuses on consistent compounding of more moderate results.

Who has been achieving consistently high risk adjusted returns?

The endowment funds of top universities such as Harvard and Yale have been pioneers in utilizing non-traditional asset classes to produce higher returns, more consistent returns and achieving them with less volatility. Take a look at their results on the following page:

Results of the Endowment Approach to Investing
1985–2008Annual Compounded Rate of Return Volatility (measured by Standard Deviation)
Yale & Harvard Endowments (Combined)15.95%9.75 σ
S&P 50011.98%15.6 σ
Source: The Ivy Portfolio by Mebane T. Faber & Eric W. Richardson © 2009 John Wiley & Sons Inc.

In 1980, Harvard’s endowment invested 70% of their endowment in domestic stocks and 30% in domestic bonds. In 2010, those two asset classes (combined) only accounted for 15% of their endowment. So where has the other 85% gone? Some has gone into investments that are still considered traditional asset classes, such as international and emerging market stocks and bonds. However, Harvard’s largest allocations in 2010 are Absolute Return, Commodities and Private Equity.

Harvard Endowment Results vs. Benchmarks (through 2009) 
 10 Year Avg Annual Returns20 Year Avg Annual Returns 
Yale & Harvard Endowments (Combined)8.9%11.7%
S&P 500-.99%8.23%
Typical 60% stock / 40% bond portfolio1.4%7.8%
Sources: Harvard Gazette, January 2010, www.hmc.harvard.edu, S&P annual return from Robert Schiller and Yahoo Finance.

What else are Institutional Investors doing to Manage Risk?

The multiple booms and busts of the last 15 years have laid bare the shortcomings of relying too much on asset allocation and a strict buy and hold strategy. In fact, the top investors are the ones who know how to incorporate current valuations and world events into a cohesive risk management strategy. In other words, they have a plan to hedge or reduce their exposure to certain asset classes when the risks outweigh the potential rewards.

This cannot be done based on “gut feel” or emotion. Your system for reducing exposure must be quantifiable and determined in advance. It is important to understand that in this day and age, you can protect yourself from market downturns. However, that protection comes at a price, which can be a drag on your returns. Therefore, you have to hedge (or protect yourself from) the right risks at the right price.

Most institutional investors budget a certain amount each year for options, derivatives, or other tools which essentially act as “portfolio insurance”. Institutional investors realize that you do not need to participate in 100% of the upside as long as you protect yourself from a good portion of the downside.

The role of professional money managers has changed. The new paradigm is that the “upside” for the most part, will take care of itself. The measure of good investment professionals is how well they manage downside risk. You cannot control how far or fast markets will rise, nor do you need to. However, you can control how far you are willing (and able) to let your portfolio fall.

For example, large institutional investors such as pension funds know in advance how far they can let their portfolio decline before it compromises their ability to meet their obligations. They frequently spend as much time (or more) determining how to protect against downturns as they do figuring out where to invest their money.

How can you get Institutional Quality Asset Management?

As an individual investor, clients face many of the same challenges as pension funds and endowments.
For example, they may need to provide inflation-adjusted income for one or more people’s lives. Similar to a pension fund, they can only tolerate a certain amount of downside exposure and still be able to recover in order to meet their long-term obligations.

SureVest Capital Management utilizes a modified endowment model for all of our clients’ portfolios. Our customized portfolio models are designed for mid to high net worth individuals whose goals, liquidity requirements and time horizons differ from those of large endowments and institutions. At SureVest, we design portfolios to meet the specific goals and income needs of each client.

We understand that an investor’s time horizon and risk level are not set in stone and may be subject to change. Therefore, our strategy and style of investing is flexible yet enables us to use many of the same strategies employed by large institutional investors.

For More Information: If you think this approach to investing may be right for you, or if you have questions or comments about this or other financial issues, please contact Jeremy Kisner, CFP at (480) 272-7116. Mr. Kisner is the President of SureVest Capital Management, a fee based financial planning and wealth management firm with offices in Las Vegas, NV and Phoenix, AZ. For more information visit: www.svwealth.com.

Disclaimer: SureVest Capital Management designs institutional quality portfolios for investors with a minimum of $250,000. Certain investments described in this article may not be available to individual investors. Some strategies / investments are only available only to “accredited investors”, with net worth’s of $1 million or more. Results for individuals can vary significantly from large institutions. Past performance is no guarantee of future results and investors can lose what they invest. Securities offered through Crown Capital Securities, L.P. Member FINRA / SIPC

Appendix A: Dow Jones Historical Trends

Click here for larger view

Appendix B: Alternative Asset Class Definitions

Absolute Return: Absolute Return is any investment strategy designed to generate positive returns over a 3 to 5 year period, irrespective of the direction of stock or bond markets. They typically achieve this by investing the portfolio's assets in cash or other low volatility investments and then taking hedged long and short positions in portfolios of securities that, when combined, are expected to have modest exposures to market returns. The resulting portfolio should have low correlation with financial market performance. Of course, whether such a portfolio actually delivers a positive absolute return depends on the skill of the portfolio manager in selecting profitable long and short positions.

Arbitrage: Attempting to profit by exploiting price differences of identical or similar financial instruments, on different markets or in different forms. The ideal version is riskless arbitrage.

Commodities: Any unprocessed or partially processed good, which is typically used as a raw material to be processed and resold, such as petroleum, wheat, or copper. Its price is determined by supply and demand in the global market. There is no product differentiation among different producers.

Currencies: Buying or selling the currencies of different countries in order to profit on trends in the relative strength of one currency vs. another. Currencies can also be used to hedge other exposure (i.e. buying the U.S. dollar to hedge commodities which are priced in dollars).

Emerging Market Debt: This is simply government bonds issued by countries known as emerging economies, such as Brazil, India and China.

Hedged Equity: Ownership of stock in publicly traded companies, which is then insured against declines in the value of the stock using options contracts.

Managed Futures: The active trading of “Futures contracts” which are contracts to buy or sell an asset (stock index, commodity, currency, fixed income or other security) for delivery at a specified future date at a specified price. This is similar to stock options except that they are applied to assets other than stocks. Traders usually employ quantitative or technical analysis and systematic investment processes which are designed to profit on price trends. The traders can profit regardless of whether the price trend of the underlying asset is up or down.

Private Equity: Ownership (i.e. stock) in operating companies that are not publicly traded.

 

Real Estate: Both domestic and international commercial real estate (office, industrial, multi-family, specialty).